The Sun's Magnetic Field is about to Flip, November or December, Sept. or Oct., or Aug., by the year end.
The Sun's Magnetic Field is about to Flip
The Sun's Magnetic Field is about to Flip
August 5, 2013:
Something big is about to happen on the sun. According to measurements
from NASA-supported observatories, the sun's vast magnetic field is
about to flip.
"It looks like we're no more than 3 to 4 months away from a
complete field reversal," says solar physicist Todd Hoeksema of Stanford
University. "This change will have ripple effects throughout the solar
system."
The sun's magnetic field changes polarity approximately every 11
years. It happens at the peak of each solar cycle as the sun's inner
magnetic dynamo re-organizes itself. The coming reversal will mark the
midpoint of Solar Cycle 24. Half of 'Solar Max' will be behind us, with
half yet to come.
Hoeksema is the director of Stanford's Wilcox Solar Observatory,
one of the few observatories in the world that monitor the sun's polar
magnetic fields. The poles are a herald of change. Just as Earth
scientists watch our planet's polar regions for signs of climate change,
solar physicists do the same thing for the sun. Magnetograms at Wilcox
have been tracking the sun's polar magnetism since 1976, and they have
recorded three grand reversals—with a fourth in the offing.
Solar physicist Phil Scherrer, also at Stanford, describes what
happens: "The sun's polar magnetic fields weaken, go to zero, and then
emerge again with the opposite polarity. This is a regular part of the
solar cycle."
A reversal of the sun's magnetic field is, literally, a big event.
The domain of the sun's magnetic influence (also known as the
"heliosphere") extends billions of kilometers beyond Pluto. Changes to
the field's polarity ripple all the way out to the Voyager probes, on
the doorstep of interstellar space.
When solar physicists talk about solar field reversals, their
conversation often centers on the "current sheet." The current sheet is
a sprawling surface jutting outward from the sun's equator where the
sun's slowly-rotating magnetic field induces an electrical current. The
current itself is small, only one ten-billionth of an amp per square
meter (0.0000000001 amps/m2), but there’s a lot of it: the
amperage flows through a region 10,000 km thick and billions of
kilometers wide. Electrically speaking, the entire heliosphere is
organized around this enormous sheet.
During field reversals, the current sheet becomes very wavy.
Scherrer likens the undulations to the seams on a baseball. As Earth
orbits the sun, we dip in and out of the current sheet. Transitions from
one side to another can stir up stormy space weather around our planet.
Cosmic rays are also affected. These are high-energy particles
accelerated to nearly light speed by supernova explosions and other
violent events in the galaxy. Cosmic rays are a danger to astronauts
and space probes, and some researchers say they might affect the
cloudiness and climate of Earth. The current sheet acts as a barrier to
cosmic rays, deflecting them as they attempt to penetrate the inner
solar system. A wavy, crinkly sheet acts as a better shield against
these energetic particles from deep space.
As the field reversal approaches, data from Wilcox show that the sun's two hemispheres are out of synch.
"The sun's north pole has already changed sign, while the south
pole is racing to catch up," says Scherrer. "Soon, however, both poles
will be reversed, and the second half of Solar Max will be underway."
When that happens, Hoeksema and Scherrer will share the news with their colleagues and the public.
Stay tuned to Science@NASA for updates.
Credits:
Author:Dr. Tony Phillips| Production editor: Dr. Tony Phillips | Credit: Science@NASA
More information:
Is Solar Max Double-Peaked? -- ScienceCast video
NASA Official: Ruth Netting
Send us your comments!
Last Updated: Aug. 6, 2013
August 5, 2013 – NEAR GOODLAND, Kan. — A
mysterious, massive hole in the earth is attracting visitors to western
Kansas. Geologists and engineers are still trying to determine how and
why the ground gave way in this particular spot south of Goodland in the
middle of someone’s pasture. “Man had nothing to do with this. This is a
God thing,” said Larry Townsend, Wallace County Sheriff. “There’s no
oil well around here. There are no irrigation wells anywhere near. This
is something that just happened.” The sink hole is about 200 feet across
and 90 feet deep. Some people have let their curiosity overtake their
caution and have hiked down into the cavity, but the sheriff warns that
hiking into it is a bad idea because they don’t know what’s under it and
if it will further collapse. –Fox 4KC
August 1, 2013 – GEOLOGY - A new paper out today in Nature
offers some good news and bad news about volcanic eruptions. First, the
bad news. The researchers found that certain kinds of volcanoes can
unleash a bunch of lava, then “recharge” with new magma from deep in the
Earth within a matter of days or weeks. Previously, scientists believed
it would take much longer for this recharging to happen. So one of
these volcanoes could actually be simultaneously erupting and recharging
its magma chamber with superheated rock from the Earth’s mantle.
Columbia University Earth scientists Philipp Ruprech and Terry Plank
described the situation as “the highway from hell.” Because really,
let’s just call it what it is. The good news is that this information
could help us predict volcanic eruptions months in advance. By
monitoring small earthquakes deep in the Earth’s crust, where these
rapid recharges are happening, seismologists might know when an eruption
is coming. Usually, volcanic activity is monitored from the Earth’s
surface, where small and large quakes will signal that an eruption might
be near — especially if the Earth is bulging over the top of the
volcano. Now we know that some volcanoes might prepare for their
eruptions deep underground, too. –I09
July 29, 2013 – ALASKA – When
Mount St. Helens erupted explosively in 1980, most people were unaware
that the U.S. ranks as one of the top countries in the world in the
number of geologically young, active volcanoes. An updated review of the
Nation’s active volcanism from 1980 through the end of 2012, however,
shows that 107 eruptions occurred at 32 volcanoes (most of which are
located in Alaska), and at least 41 episodes of unrest were observed at
13 volcanoes. So far in 2013, four new eruptions have occurred at
volcanoes in Alaska (Cleveland, Pavlof, and Veniaminof) and the
Commonwealth of Northern Marianas Islands (Pagan), and two eruptions are
continuing in Hawai`i at Kilauea Volcano from Halema`uma`u Crater at
the summit and the Pu`u `O`o vent 18 km (12 miles) to the east. Also in
2013, various signs of persistent unrest continue at two of the largest
volcanoes in the U.S., Yellowstone and Long Valley calderas in Wyoming
and California, respectively. The most explosive and harmful eruption in
terms of lives lost and economic effects was that of Mount St. Helens.
Large explosive eruptions also occurred at Pagan (1981–1985) and
Anatahan (2003) in the Commonwealth of the Northern Marianas Islands,
and Spurr (1992), Augustine (1986, 2006), Kasatochi (2008), Okmok (1997,
2008), and Redoubt (1989, 2009) in Alaska. The most voluminous
lava-producing eruption since 1980 is the ongoing Kilauea eruption
(1983-present), which is not showing signs of winding down.
Eruption warnings and regular
information updates in the United States are the responsibility of the
U.S. Geological Survey (USGS) through the Volcano Hazards Program(VHP)
and its five volcano observatories, along with Federal, State, and
University partners. In the past 33 years, the capability of the USGS to
issue warnings and updates has increased significantly for several key
reasons: the astounding improvements in volcano-monitoring, computer,
and information technology; a dramatically increased number of
monitoring networks installed on volcanoes with the highest threat in
the U.S., especially in Alaska; the experience and expertise gained by
scientists in understanding volcanic processes and interpreting the
early signs of potential volcanic activity; and the creation of
coordinated communication and emergency-response plans for use during
eruptions and escalating periods of unrest. This unprecedented
capability stems from significant long-term investment by the Federal
government to reduce volcanic risk in the nation after the eruption of
Mount St. Helens, when funding of volcano monitoring and research
increased tenfold. In 2005, the USGS characterized this expanded
monitoring and warning capability as the U.S. National Volcano Warning
System (NVEWS) and developed a framework for expanding the monitoring
effort to include more volcanoes deemed a high threat to the nation but
that are not sufficiently well-monitored to ensure detection of unrest
and warnings well before any eruption might begin. –Big Island
July 29, 2013 – SPACE – A
space telescope aimed at the sun has spotted a gigantic hole in the
solar atmosphere — a dark spot that covers nearly a quarter of our
closest star, spewing solar material and gas into space. The so-called
coronal hole over the sun’s north pole came into view between July 13
and 18 and was observed by the Solar and Heliospheric Observatory, or
SOHO. NASA released a video of the sun hole as seen by the SOHO
spacecraft, showing the region as a vast dark spot surrounded by solar
activity. Coronal holes are darker, cooler regions of the sun’s
atmosphere, or corona, containing little solar material. In these gaps,
magnetic field lines whip out into the solar wind rather than looping
back to the sun’s surface. Coronal holes can affect space weather, as
they send solar particles streaming off the sun about three times faster
than the slower wind unleashed elsewhere from the sun’s atmosphere,
according to a description from NASA. “While it’s unclear what causes
coronal holes, they correlate to areas on the sun where magnetic fields
soar up and away, failing to loop back down to the surface, as they do
elsewhere,” NASA’s Karen Fox at the agency’s Goddard Space Flight Center
in Greenbelt, Md., explained in an image description. These holes are
not uncommon, but their frequency changes with the solar activity cycle.
The sun is currently reaching its 11-year peak in activity, known as
the solar maximum. Around the time of this peak, the sun’s poles switch
their magnetism. The number of coronal holes typically decreases leading
up to the switch. After the reversal, new coronal holes appear near the
poles. Then as the sun approaches the solar minimum again, the holes
creep closer to the equator, growing in both size and number, according
to NASA. -Yahoo
August 6, 2013 – SPACE – Something
big is about to happen on the sun. According to measurements from
NASA-supported observatories, the sun’s vast magnetic field is about to
flip. “It looks like we’re no more than 3 to 4 months away from a
complete field reversal,” says solar physicist Todd Hoeksema of Stanford
University. “This change will have ripple effects throughout the solar
system.” The sun’s magnetic field changes polarity approximately every
11 years. It happens at the peak of each solar cycle as the sun’s inner
magnetic dynamo re-organizes itself. The coming reversal will mark the
midpoint of Solar Cycle 24. Half of ‘Solar Max’ will be behind us, with
half yet to come. Hoeksema is the director of Stanford’s Wilcox Solar
Observatory, one of the few observatories in the world that monitor the
sun’s polar magnetic fields. The poles are a herald of change.
Just as Earth scientists watch our
planet’s polar regions for signs of climate change, solar physicists do
the same thing for the sun. Magnetograms at Wilcox have been tracking
the sun’s polar magnetism since 1976, and they have recorded three grand
reversals—with a fourth in the offing. Solar physicist Phil Scherrer,
also at Stanford, describes what happens: “The sun’s polar magnetic
fields weaken, go to zero, and then emerge again with the opposite
polarity. This is a regular part of the solar cycle.” A reversal of the
sun’s magnetic field is, literally, a big event. The domain of the sun’s
magnetic influence (also known as the “heliosphere”) extends billions
of kilometers beyond Pluto. Changes to the field’s polarity ripple all
the way out to the Voyager probes, on the doorstep of interstellar
space. When solar physicists talk about solar field reversals, their
conversation often centers on the “current sheet.” The current sheet is
a sprawling surface jutting outward from the sun’s equator where the
sun’s slowly-rotating magnetic field induces an electrical current. The
current itself is small, only one ten-billionth of an amp per square
meter (0.0000000001 amps/m2), but there’s a lot of it: the amperage
flows through a region 10,000 km thick and billions of kilometers wide.
Electrically speaking, the entire heliosphere is organized around this
enormous sheet. During field reversals, the current sheet becomes very
wavy. Scherrer likens the undulations to the seams on a baseball. As
Earth orbits the sun, we dip in and out of the current sheet.
Transitions from one side to another can stir up stormy space weather
around our planet. -NASA
contribution Kaos
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